Fri. Sep 5th, 2025

UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira Betting Odds and Prediction

Ilia Topuria from Spain is set to challenge Brazil`s Charles Oliveira in a five-round contest for the vacant Lightweight Championship at UFC 317. This major event will unfold at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Topuria, nicknamed `El Matador,` maintains a perfect professional record with 16 wins, including 6 by knockout. His most recent impressive performance was a knockout victory over Max Holloway. Across the octagon stands Charles Oliveira, known as `do Bronxs,` a fighter with extensive experience boasting 35 career wins. Notably, he secured a unanimous decision win against Michael Chandler last November.

Betting Odds: Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira

The betting markets position Ilia Topuria as the favorite for this matchup, with odds of 1.6 (-155). Conversely, Charles Oliveira is the underdog, listed at 4.3 (+333). These odds indicate a higher implied probability of Topuria winning.

Method of Victory Odds

Method of victory Ilia Topuria Charles Oliveira
By KO/TKO or disqualification 1.7 (-150) 13.0 (+1200)
By decision or technical decision 9.0 (+800) 19.0 (+1800)

Further breakdown of the odds reveals that oddsmakers heavily favor Topuria winning by knockout or technical knockout, priced at 1.7 (-150). Oliveira winning by the same method is considered a significant long shot at 13.0 (+1200). A win by decision for Topuria stands at 9.0 (+800), while an Oliveira decision victory presents very high odds of 19.0 (+1800). The betting data strongly suggests that Topuria is expected to secure a decisive victory, likely within the distance.

By Rupert Caldwell

Rupert Caldwell is a veteran journalist from Newcastle who has traveled to every corner of England covering regional sporting events. Known for his distinctive voice and ability to uncover the human stories behind athletic achievements, Rupert specializes in boxing, athletics, and motorsport.

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